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itl'his paper originated as a lecture given at Nihon University. Tokyo, in. January l980. An earlier version (entitled “Stagflation") was published in Keizai Shushi , Journal of the College of Economics, Ni hon University,. Vol . XLIX, No. 1. January l980. From Section 7 on, the paper has been rewritten to incorporate material.
10 Oct 2013 Abstract. In this paper I employ Imre Lakatos's methodology of scientific research programs to scrutinize the idea that stagflation in the 1970s falsified the. Keynesian research program. I point out that Keynesian models were able to account for stagflation once they included inflation expectations, so the.
A Monetary Explanation of the Great Stagflation of the 1970s. Robert B. Barsky. Lutz Kilian. University of Michigan. University of Michigan and NBER and CEPR. January 27, 2000. Abstract – The origins of stagflation and the possibility of its recurrence continue to be an important concern among policymakers and in the
8 Apr 1977 prises an analysis of stagflation, separating the issue into several parts before charting a realistic course of action toward a more healthy economy. It should be understood that the views expressed in the technical papers are exclusively those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the
Abstract. This paper explores the determinants of stagflation. Three measures are proposed that gauge both the occurrence and the strength of stagflation. We investigate the empirical determinants of these measures, accounting for a range of theoretical hypotheses that have been discussed since the mid-1970s.
Introduction. One of the central questions in recent macroeconomic history is to what extent monetary policy, as opposed to oil price shocks, contributed to the stagflation of the. 1970s. Understanding what went wrong in the 1970s is the key to learning from the past. One explanation explored in Barsky and Kilian (2002) is
Stagflation, New Products, and. Speculation *. The paper looks at the macrowonornic implications of some recent dwelopmetlts in the theory of industrial organization. In a Kalwkian model, firms are assumed. IO invest heavily early in the procluct lift cycle, thus creating dective. &mad. Conwrsely, it is assumed that late in the
and expose all restrictive practices, public or private, which raise food prices." U.S. President Gerald R. Ford,. October 1974. UNDERSTANDING. STAGFLATION. Business. Standard. Dec 2013. Vivek Moorthy. Wall Street. Journal Jan 2014. Business. Standard. Jan 2013. NewBook_Moorthy.indb 1. 11/8/2014 12:07:29 PM
The topics discussed include the basic concepts of stagflation, turbulent economic history of 1971-1976, anatomy of the great recession and inflation, and legacy of the Great Stagflation. The relation of wage-price controls, fiscal policy, and monetary policy to the Great Stagflation is also elaborated. Abstract; PDF (451 K).
ABBA P. LERN ER. Stagflation-Its Cause and Cure. Traditional wage-price controls cannot cure stagflation. What is needed is some form of tax incentive for employers to prevent excessive wage increases. To be able to deal effectively with stagflation-the combination of inflation with depression-we must first understand it.
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