pf-complete.pdf.); and the United. Kingdom Government Office for Science, The Futures
3 Aug 2013 A change in one or more trends affects many others both directly and indirectly (see Figure 6). The recent financial crisis created a 'Perfect Storm' that had impacts politically (e.g. the introduction of stimulus packages), economic (e.g. people's return to saving versus spending and socially (e.g.
3 Aug 2013 Practical guidance on how to accomplish specific foresight tasks. 0. Information and examples of best and next practice. 0. Advice on designing strategic foresight projects and programs. 0. A reference guide. 0. A refresher and reminder of ways to approach different issues. 0. The ingredients to achieve
end, prospective and foresight really make little sense unless they are able to spread the concepts and methods involved which are relevant for all actors, public and private alike. The publication of this new manual is especially welcome in that it shows how an organization can develop and disseminate its own vision
3 Aug 2013 Most significant changes affecting organizations know no borders or markets and affect every part of society today. Countries, governments, businesses, and institutions continue to witness ever increasing surprise as complexity increases. New surprises impact us far faster, and more profoundly, than we
The project „European Foresight Plattform“ (including ERA-LEARN consortium members AIT and UNIMAN) has developed a foresight guide for practitioners and policy makers. The ForLearn is an Online Foresight Guide designed to provide a structured and comprehensive foresight data base oriented towards different kind
4 Nov 2013 I have read recently "Shaping Tomorrow's Foresight Practical Guide - Preface" by Dr. Michael Jackson, Founder, Shaping Tomorrow. An interesting thing, synthesizing strategic foresight methods for business. Unfortunately, quantity does not always go hand in hand with quality. Although the reader
3 Aug 2013 Methods. 4. 3.1 Backcasting. 6. 3.2 Brainstorming . 7. 3.3 Causal Layered Analysis . 8. 3.4 Chaos theory. 9. 3.5 Cross-impact analysis. 11. 3.6 Decision modeling . 12. 3.7 Delphi method . 13. 3.8 Environmental scanning . 14. 3.9 Expert panel . 15. 3.10 Forecasting. 16. 3.11 Futures Wheel. 18.
This encyclopedic handbook provides commercial, not-for-profit, academia, government organizations and future-interested people with the concepts and practical approaches to develop systematic, collaborative foresight capabilities with limited external help and at low cost: The handbook has been designed in eleven
3 Aug 2013 What is Horizon Scanning? Almost all foresight work starts with or involves Horizon Scanning. 'Horizon, or Environmental, Scanning is the art of systematically exploring the external environment to (1) better understand the nature and pace of change in that environment, and (2) identify potential

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February 2018